• Oil price, Iran |
Energy 2012-01-20 |
"In my view, there is little or no chance of military action against Iran, and having been to Iran five times in recent years, and as recently as two months ago, there is much I could write on this subject... In the short term the Iran 'crisis' is in my view being hyped for all it is worth to entice yet more unwary speculators into the oil market... My forecast is that the crude oil price will fall dramatically during the first half of 2012, possibly as low as $45 to $55 per barrel."
-- Chris Cook, former official of the International Petroleum Exchange
UPDATE: The Iranians have made a surprise tactical move in reaction to the recently announced E.U. embargo:
"The Iranian government [will] present a bill to parliament this weekend calling for an immediate halt to oil deliveries to Europe. The move...has come about in response to the EU agreement to impose sanctions against Iran, which were announced earlier this week... The EU sanctions 'allow' for oil deliveries from Iran until July 1. Any pre-empting of this timescale by Tehran could prove problematic for countries like Italy, Greece and Spain, who would need to urgently find new suppliers. Greece is the most exposed, receiving a third of all its oil imports from Iran..."
-- Der Spiegel